26 November 2007
November 26 - NFL betting can be incredibly difficult some weeks and yesterday`s action drove that home for me as my top pick for the week - the Giants to cover at home against a poor Viking team blew up in my face.
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The Viking have no offense now that their phenom running back is done, so I couldn`t see how they would score any points in this game. I failed to see the biggest danger of all, Eli Manning, who laid an egg that a turkey would have been proud to call its own. INT after INT was returned for the maximum by the Vikings` D, and the Giants were crushed.
It was much less surprising to see the Patriots fail to cover as -24 point home favorites. That`s the most ridiculous NFL line I`ve ever seen, and the biggest of all time, but it still would have taken a brave man (not me) to play against them. I had no bet on the game, but they had to slow down at some point. They still won SU, which is all they care about, and maybe they will offer betting value next weekend?
The 49ers and the Raiders both won as dogs on the road, and I had both of those games. The Cardinals and the Chiefs are not teams that should be laying big points against anyone, especially not division rivals. Hard to classify either one of those results as "upsets" but they were underdog victories.
Tonight`s big game looks impossible for the underdogs as the 0-10 Dolphins continue in their bid for futility with a tough visit to the Steelers. Pittsburgh is favored by 16 points and again only a brave man would side with the Fish.
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