Online Sportsbook Posts Election Betting Odds - 04-11-06
April 11 - American voters will go to the polls on November 7 to decide if
the Republicans
should stay in power over the House of Representatives and Senate, or if
it is time for a change. Online sportsbook and casino Sportsbook.com have
posted mid-term election odds...
House of Representatives Proposition Betting
All 435 representatives in the U.S. House of Representatives face re-
election in November. Republicans now hold 231 seats, Democrats have 201, with
one independent and two vacant seats. Democrats need to win a net of 15 seats to
gain a majority. That may seem tough today but the job approval ratings of both
the Republican President and his Republican controlled Congress are increasingly
negative. The GOP's grip on national politics is significantly weaker than in
recent years. Odds on the Democrats gaining a majority in the House currently
are +160, meaning that a wager of $100 would result in a $160 profit. Odds on
the Republicans retaining the majority are -200, meaning that one would need to
wager $200 to win a profit of $100.
In the wake of Texas Republican Tom DeLay's recent announcement that he will
resign his seat in the House, Sportsbook.com is also offering odds on whether
the Republicans will retain DeLay's district after November 7th. Odds are
currently in favour of the GOP retaining the seat at -140. Odds on the Democrats
taking the seat are +110.
"Democrats need to score a net gain of 15 seats to win a majority in the
House," says Jennifer Duffy, Editor and Political Analyst for non-partisan The
Cook Political Report. "Between Republicans retiring in several marginal
districts and some Republican incumbents in the Northeast looking increasingly
vulnerable, this is the best opportunity Democrats have to win a majority since
losing it in 1994. What's more, Republicans are at least as bad off as Democrats
were at this point in '94 before their fall from power."
Senate Proposition Betting
Unlike the House, only 33 of the Senate's 100 seats will be contested in
November. Democrats currently hold 44 seats; Republicans 55 and there is 1
independent. Democrats need to capture a net of six seats to gain majority
control. This means Democrats must win all six Republican-held seats in the
competitive races without losing any of their own. Sportsbook.com odds on a
Democrat majority in the Senate are +200, odds on the Republicans retaining
their majority are -260.
Sportsbook.com will also be offering updated odds on all of the high profile
Senate races, including Pennsylvania, where Republican incumbent Rick Santorum
is fighting for his political life in a close contest with Democrat challenger
Bob Casey Jr., the odds makers favorite at -150. The odds on Santorum
recapturing the seat are currently +120.
"The fact is that Republicans have much more exposure to potential losses
than do the Democrats in the Senate races," says Duffy. "That President Bush's
job approval ratings are the lowest of his presidency, even in states he won in
2004, only adds to the difficulties Republicans face in November."
"Everyone has an opinion on who should win and who will win. And everyone
bets. We think by putting up our first group of odds on these Midterm elections,
we are giving Americans a chance to say now what they think the outcome will
be," says Alex Czajkowski, Marketing Director, Sportsbook.com. "Offering odds on
political events is the perfect way to let everyone wager on the issues that are
important to them."
.
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