October 6 - We asked America's leading sports handicappers for free NFL picks as well as College Football free picks and boy did they come through for us. We've got six plays in all, and if you want the premium analysis for serious sports bettors be sure to check those out at Mycapper.com.
When you're ready to bet on football this weekend the smart choice is still to go to Bodog's Sportsbook - this sportsbook tends to have very good lines on underdogs, usually 1/2 point higher than anywhere else.
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College Football Free Pick - UNLV
"At 9 pm, our complimentary selection is on the UNLV Rebels plus the points over Air Force, as we will fade the Flyboys off their back-to-back SU/ATS road losses vs. Navy and BYU the previous two games. And since 1980, single digit home favorites are 36-57 ATS off two SU/ATS road losses, if they're matched up against a conference foe. Last week, UNLV lost a heartbreaker, when Nevada completed a long touchdown pass in the final minute to beat the Rebels 27-20. Look for UNLV to take out its frustration on Air Force. Grab the points. Good luck, as always, Al McMordie."
NFL Free Pick - Bet on the Ravens / 49ers UNDER for total points (35.5)
"Trent Dilfer faces the team that got him an unlikely Super Bowl ring, but don't expect Trent to light it up in this spot. Last week the 49ers looked awful in posting 3 points total at home against the 'Hawks. This week the offense should improve as Dilfer will have had time to prepare, but look for Baltimore's D to provide serious match up difficulties for the 49ers - the good news for SF is that their defense should do the same to the Ravens, who could easily lay an egg on the road here. MasterBets."
College Football Free Pick - Iowa
"Note: Hawkeyes limp into Happy Valley off three straight losses knowing they have held all five opponents to season low yardage this season. With Iowa 6-1 ATS in this series, including 4-0 ATS in their last four games on this field, and 6-0 ATS in games off three losses in a row, look for Iowa to pull off the upset against the over rated Lions this afternoon.
It's a documented fact - Marc Lawrence's Top Plays (4* and 5*) are a perfect 5-0 this college football season. His 4* Top Play on Saturday's college football card goes tonight and it's backed by a NEVER LOST winning angle inside the game. Don't miss out, get it now - you'll be glad you did!"
College Football Free Pick - UAB
"At 2:30 pm, on Saturday, our complimentary selection is on UAB + over Mississippi State. Sylvester Croom's Bulldogs are playing a lot better this year, and already own wins over Tulane and Auburn. Overall, Miss State is 3-2 and it needs to win this game, if it wants to get a bowl invitation -- which would be the first since Jackie Sherrill led the Bulldogs to the Independence Bowl seven years ago. UAB will be Miss State's opponent on Saturday and the Blazers have fallen on hard times, as this will be their third straight losing season. Miss State is favored by 19 points, which represents the largest amount by which it has been favored since that Independence Bowl season. UAB has lost 10 straight road games, including last week's 38-30 loss at a very good Tulsa squad. I expect UAB to come within this large number, as Miss State isn't accustomed to laying this kind of wood, and UAB is also a terrific 19-4 ATS as an underdog off a SU loss, including a perfect 9-0 ATS if they gave up 35 or more points in its previous game. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie."
College Football Free Pick - Ohio State
"#385 OHIO STATE (-) over Purdue at 8 PM EST
Purdue head coach Joe Tiller isn't too difficult to figure out. Since taking over the Boilermakers program in 1997, Tiller has easily handled the teams he was supposed to beat and fallen hard to the best of the bunch. Take a look at these numbers. When matched up against teams with a winning record, Big Joe owns a dismal 30-38 SU mark. Meanwhile, versus .500 or worse opposition, Tiller carries a remarkable 50-11 SU record.
I took a deeper look at Tiller's performance against winning teams. Since the 2001 Capital One Bowl game against Georgia, Purdue is a stunning 5-17 SU and 6-16 ATS in their last 22 tries matched up against an opponent that owns a won/loss percentage greater than .500. Even worse, in conference play, this situation crashes to a miserable 3-12 ATS!
Ohio State definitely fits the bill as a winning team and the Buckeyes will be all business here. My system book agrees. Since 1980, college football road favorites are a tremendous 51-26 ATS provided they failed to cover as road chalk of -10 or more last and they are matched up against an opponent that owns a won/loss percentage greater than .400. At game eight of the regular season or less, this awesome angle improves to a sensational 31-13 ATS for 70.4 percent! State fits the general situation and the tightener!
The Buckeyes have quietly won their last eight Big 10 road games (6-2 ATS) and they'll have no trouble moving up and down the field against a Boilermakers defense that truly hasn't stopped anyone all season long. Take Ohio State! Tom Stryker."
College Football Free Pick - Illinois
"Wisconsin Badgers at Illinois Fighting Illini 12:00 PM ET
Illinois Fighting Illini -2.5 -105
Wisconsin is 5th in the country and the Badgers are getting points? That makes no sense, let?s hammer them. That is the comment from most squares in the country when they see this line and for a square, it is easy money. Wisconsin is a dog for a reason and could possibly be the worst 5th ranked team in the history of college football, sans Michigan in week one this season. The Badgers have barely gotten by the last two weeks with narrow wins against Iowa and Michigan St., both at home by the way.
Illinois is a team on the rise and its athleticism is proving be to too much for some teams. After defeating Penn St., the Illini are 2-0 in the Big Ten for the first time since 1991 which was coach John Mackovic's final team showing how long ago that really was. It was the first ranked opponent they have defeated since 1991 and they are now at 4-1, making dreams of a bowl bid sound like more than just wishful thinking. People are talking about letdown but this team wants more as one big win won?t get it done.
For the first time, Illinois head coach Ron Zook is making sure his team stays grounded, reining in the excitement over the recent four-game winning streak. But he won't dampen a growing sense of confidence. The Illini are one bad play away from being undefeated right now as it cost them in their opener against Missouri and this team absolutely thinks it can contend in the Big Ten. A win over yet another ranked team will no doubt move them into the top 20 as they are currently ranked 28th in the AP poll.
Illinois had 216 yards rushing against Penn St., the fourth straight 200-yard rushing performance for an Illini team that is now ranked 6th in the country in rushing offense. That came against a Nittany Lions defense that was ranked 6th in the country in rushing yards allowed. Wisconsin comes into this game ranked 42nd in rushing defense and that defense was lit up last Saturday for 241 yards rushing by Michigan St. The Spartans came in ranked 31st in rushing defense.
As good as Illinois is running the ball, it is nearly as good at stopping the run. The Illini are 22nd in the country in rushing defense, allowing only 95.4 ypg on their 2.8 ypc average allowed is 16th in the nation. Wisconsin is a very good rushing team but when facing a defense like Illinois, it was shut down pretty good as Iowa held the Badgers to 138 yards rushing two games back. The Hawkeyes are 14th in rushing defense so comparing them with Illini is spot on.
Illinois is 7-1 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a winning record and that jumps to 6-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning percentage greater than 75 percent. Winning has been contagious as the good play tends to carry forward as the Illini are now 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a win in their previous game. Wisconsin is just 1-4 ATS in the same situation. This will be an upset in some minds but the fraudulent 5th rank team will show why they have no business being there. Play Illinois Illini 1.5 Units Matt Fargo."
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