March 27 - We've reached the Sweet Sixteen betting phase for the 2008 NCAA Tournament and college basketball wagering goes into overdrive with eight games to bet on over the next two days!
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The expert sports handicappers at Mycapper.com have provided us with a free pick for one of the games on Thursday night, and it comes courtesy of top College Hoops analyst Matt Fargo.
Sweet Sixteen Free Pick Selection: Bet on the Louisville Cardinals -3 points
Analysis: "It has been an interesting season for Louisville. The Cardinals entered the season ranked 6th in the preseason polls but early injuries led to some losses and the Cardinals dropped out of the rankings and eventually moved back up to 13th entering the NCAA Tournament. The thing is, they are probably a better team now that they were entering the season as the injuries knocked them down but it added some important depth. That depth is coming out now and will be big in this game especially.
Tennessee actually had a chance at a number one seed had it won the SEC Tournament but a loss to Arkansas knocked it out early and down to a two seed. This team did not finish very well as it struggled away from home for the most part. A loss at Kentucky started the trend as the Volunteers went 7-3 away from home including the SEC Tournament but of those wins none were by more than five points. A win over American ended up being by 15 points but it was a struggle as was the victory over Butler Sunday.
These seeds should be flip flopped and judging by the line, the linesmakers agree. Ever since the Cardinals got healthy, they have been a dominating team. Since the return of David Padgett and Juan Palacios, Louisville has gone 17-4 and it was keyed by efficiency and stellar defense. Of those 17 wins, 12 have been by double digits including seven either on the road or on a neutral floor which is certainly the opposite of the Volunteers. This includes a 30-point win over Oklahoma adding to the Cardinals domination.
Back to the depth angle, Louisville can often wear other teams down as they use 10 or 11 players per game while 11 Volunteers play 10 minutes or more per game. This is basically a wash and that helps Louisville because Tennessee uses its depth to run on offense while the Cardinals use theirs for defense. Louisville finished 13th in both shooting defense and three-point shooting defense so any offensive edge for the Volunteers is negated.
Another advantage for the Cardinals is the frontcourt as Padgett has been a killer for Louisville and Tennessee does not have anyone that can shut him down. Even more effective is his court presence as he directs the team and is basically the point center and his ability to shoot either left handed or right handed is a big edge. There has been talk about Louisville’s poor free throw shooting in the first two games but Tennessee is not much better overall and it likely won’t even come down to that. Play Louisville Cardinals 1 Unit"
In terms of betting moves for the Sweet Sixteen games that will tip off on Thursday there has been a lot of money for North Carolina, Louisville, West Virginia, and UCLA. All four are now favored in the lines, although the Xavier/West Virginia spread is only -1 point and remains a pick'em game at some online sportsbooks.
Bet on all four Sweet Sixteen games tonight at
Bodoglife's sportsbook where USA bettors can still wager online!
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